Concurrent and Longitudinal Assessment of Risk for Alcohol Use among Seventh Graders

John A. Webb, Paul E. Baer, Charlene D. Caid, Robert J. McLaughlin, Robert S. McKelvey

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

2 Scopus citations


This study examined the relationship between risk factors and alcohol use among seventh graders concurrently and over a 15-month period. Subjects were classified as abstainers, experimenters and users based on a quantity-frequency index of usage. A discriminant analysis predicting alcohol usage using concurrent risk factors generated two functions. The first was composed of measures associated with deviance and peer-related measures. Family-related risk factors and grade average comprised the second function. These functions correctly classified 68% of subjects. A second analysis used Time 1 risk factors to predict alcohol usage 15 months later. The first function was composed of factors related to deviance, family factors, and peer approval. Only peer use loaded on the second function. These functions were able to correctly classify 58% of subjects. Results are discussed in terms of implications of these findings for use in targeting prevention programs relative to adolescents' risk level, and the relative importance of various risk factors.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)450-465
Number of pages16
JournalThe Journal of Early Adolescence
Issue number4
StatePublished - Nov 1991
Externally publishedYes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Developmental and Educational Psychology
  • Social Sciences (miscellaneous)
  • Sociology and Political Science
  • Life-span and Life-course Studies


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